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2009-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Rutgers Scarlet Knights Spread Result
Elo 82.5% 17.5% -
Bradley-Terry 59.6% 40.4% -
Margin 62.1% 37.9% -2.7 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 74.3% 25.7% -
Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.0% 16.0% -
Log Adjusted 84.0% 16.0% -

Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -15 (58-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Boynton 33 7-14 3-9 2-3 2 3 0 1 1 19 10 -
D. Werner 32 2-8 0-1 0-0 7 6 3 0 4 4 8 -
E. Walker 32 4-9 3-6 0-0 3 5 0 0 3 11 7 -
V. Macklin 25 7-9 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 0 1 14 15 -
C. Parsons 23 3-6 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 7 3 -
A. Tyus 22 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 6 2 -
R. Shipman 15 2-3 0-0 0-2 0 1 2 0 2 4 2 -
E. Murphy 12 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 8 6 -
K. Kadji 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Tishman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. McClanahan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
H. Fricke 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Rosario 34 5-15 1-6 3-4 6 3 2 0 2 14 8 -
J. Mitchell 29 3-8 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 6 -3 -
M. Coburn 28 3-7 0-2 0-2 1 3 0 0 2 6 1 -
D. Miller 24 4-4 1-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 9 10 -
G. Echenique 21 0-2 0-0 0-1 2 1 2 2 3 0 2 -
H. Ndiaye 17 5-8 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 3 0 12 12 -
P. Jackson 16 1-5 1-3 3-4 4 0 0 0 2 6 3 -
J. Beatty 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 0 -
A. Johnson 11 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 5 7 -
B. Okam 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Hasani 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Kuhn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter