Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | UMass Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.2% | 8.8% | -12.9 | ✓ (25.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMass Minutemen -38 (68-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Morgan | 24 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| K. Lucious | 22 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| C. Allen | 22 | 7-10 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| K. Lucas | 21 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| D. Roe | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D. Green | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| D. Summers | 15 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| A. Thornton | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| G. Sherman | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| T. Herzog | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Nix | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Kebler | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Crandell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Vinson | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| H. Bailey | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| R. Harris | 24 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 4 | - |
| A. Gurley | 22 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 14 | - |
| S. Carter | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| G. Correia | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Gibbs | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Carter | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| F. Riley | 14 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -2 | - |
| J. Farrell | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Lang | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Hill | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter