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2009-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 81.4% 18.6% -
Bradley-Terry 73.1% 26.9% -
Margin 80.5% 19.5% -7.8 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -
Efficiency 10.7% 89.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.3% 33.7% -
Log Adjusted 66.5% 33.5% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +4 (72-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Davis 35 7-13 0-0 3-4 8 1 1 0 2 17 12 -
D.J. Richardson 31 2-9 1-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 5 -2 -
D. McCamey 26 4-13 2-7 0-0 5 4 1 0 5 10 2 -
J. Jordan 25 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 4 6 -
M. Tisdale 22 3-9 0-0 6-6 8 2 0 0 1 12 12 -
D. Keller 16 3-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 6 3 -
B. Paul 15 2-5 1-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 7 3 -
B. Cole 15 1-3 0-1 1-1 6 0 1 0 0 3 7 -
A. Legion 8 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. Semrau 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 6 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Warren 34 5-11 4-8 2-2 3 2 1 0 0 16 11 -
C. Roberts 32 5-11 3-4 0-0 2 3 1 1 1 13 8 -
S. Maniscalco 29 1-7 1-6 9-9 2 5 2 0 3 12 11 -
W. Egolf 28 6-9 0-0 0-2 9 0 0 3 1 12 14 -
T. Brown 26 5-13 0-2 2-3 7 0 0 0 2 12 4 -
E. McCain 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 0 6 -
M. Knezevic 12 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -5 -
D. Simms-Edwards 12 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 3 0 1 3 3 -
A. Thompson 12 1-1 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
R. Phillips 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter