Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Arkansas-Fort Smith Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.4% | 5.6% | -15.5 | ✓ (23.5 off) |
Actual: Arkansas-Fort Smith Lions -39 (76-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hazzard | 27 | 10-18 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 12 | - |
| M. Vogler | 27 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| V. Taylor | 25 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Delk | 24 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| L. Patsatsia | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. Macon | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Y. Coleman | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| A. Jones | 17 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| B. Toombs | 16 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| K. Greenwood | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arkansas-Fort Smith Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mitchell | 35 | 8-18 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 18 | -2 | - |
| J. Simmons | 33 | 9-19 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 14 | - |
| D. Neville | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. McHenry | 24 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter