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2009-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Utah Utes Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 6.8% 93.2% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 26.5% 73.5% +5.6 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% -
Efficiency 6.1% 93.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.1% 68.9% -
Log Adjusted 31.0% 69.0% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -2 (58-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Brown 33 3-15 0-2 3-5 9 1 2 0 2 9 4 -
L. Drca 31 5-11 2-5 4-4 3 1 2 0 0 16 11 -
D. Foster 28 3-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 3 3 6 9 -
S. Glover 24 2-4 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
J. Watkins 23 4-5 0-0 4-5 3 2 0 0 1 12 11 -
K. Tillie 14 4-5 0-0 0-1 7 1 0 0 3 8 8 -
J. Tavita 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Washburn 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Cyphers 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -2 -
M. Henderson 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
M. Read 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McCamey 32 7-15 0-1 5-5 7 3 2 0 3 19 13 -
M. Tisdale 30 8-10 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 1 0 18 15 -
M. Davis 25 1-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
B. Paul 23 1-7 0-2 3-3 3 0 1 0 3 5 -1 -
J. Jordan 19 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 0 1 -
A. Legion 18 1-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 0 -
D.J. Richardson 18 1-5 0-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -
D. Keller 15 3-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 6 5 -
B. Cole 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Semrau 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Griffey 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter