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2009-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Marquette Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 77.5% 22.5% -
Bradley-Terry 47.1% 52.9% -
Margin 51.0% 49.0% -0.2 (14.2 off)
Pythagorean 33.4% 66.6% -
Efficiency 45.9% 54.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.4% 96.6% -
Log Adjusted 3.4% 96.6% -

Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles +14 (79-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harris 38 9-16 0-4 4-6 8 4 0 0 1 22 17 -
D. Sims 31 3-10 0-2 2-2 6 0 3 2 3 8 6 -
Z. Novak 31 1-2 0-1 1-2 5 3 0 0 0 3 9 -
D. Morris 28 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 2 -1 -
L. Lucas-Perry 26 4-7 2-4 2-4 2 0 1 0 1 12 7 -
S. Douglass 20 2-7 0-5 1-1 0 2 1 0 1 5 0 -
Z. Gibson 10 3-5 0-2 2-3 3 1 0 0 0 8 7 -
A. Wright 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
M. Vogrich 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
E. Akunne 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Johnson-Odom 35 5-9 2-4 2-3 4 3 1 0 2 14 11 -
J. Butler III 35 5-9 0-0 7-8 9 2 2 0 2 17 19 -
L. Hayward 29 7-17 1-6 7-8 9 1 0 0 3 22 12 -
M. Acker 29 3-5 2-4 0-1 0 4 2 1 0 8 10 -
D. Cubillan 28 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
D. Buycks 28 6-10 0-1 1-1 3 2 0 0 2 13 6 -
J. Maymon 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
J. Fulce 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter