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2009-11-27

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 52.9% 47.1% -
Bradley-Terry 32.4% 67.6% -
Margin 31.3% 68.7% +4.3 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 29.1% 70.9% -
Efficiency 6.3% 93.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.7% 96.3% -
Log Adjusted 3.8% 96.2% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +9 (68-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Oriakhi 38 3-7 0-0 2-4 13 1 0 2 1 8 16 -
S. Robinson 35 5-12 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 1 0 10 3 -
K. Walker 35 4-12 0-1 1-2 4 9 2 2 6 9 8 -
J. Dyson 35 6-19 0-3 3-9 5 1 1 1 3 15 1 -
G. Edwards 25 3-6 0-0 6-6 5 0 1 2 2 12 12 -
C. Okwandu 18 1-2 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
D. Beverly 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Coombs-McDaniel 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Trice 2 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Smith 2 0-0 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 0 1 3 5 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Smith 39 5-22 1-4 5-6 3 1 1 2 3 16 -2 -
J. Scheyer 37 6-18 2-8 5-6 5 5 3 0 2 19 12 -
L. Thomas 30 2-5 0-0 7-8 11 0 1 2 1 11 19 -
K. Singler 29 2-12 1-2 1-2 8 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
B. Zoubek 22 1-5 0-0 0-0 11 3 1 1 1 2 12 -
M. Plumlee 18 1-4 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 2 1 3 7 -
A. Dawkins 17 4-6 2-3 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 11 8 -
R. Kelly 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
S. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
O. Czyz 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Davidson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter