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2009-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 51.6% 48.4% -
Bradley-Terry 50.9% 49.1% -
Margin 48.1% 51.9% +0.4 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% -
Efficiency 80.7% 19.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.6% 46.4% -
Log Adjusted 53.6% 46.4% -

Actual: Florida Gators +3 (77-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lucas 34 8-11 1-2 3-4 2 1 1 0 3 20 10 -
D. Summers 30 4-10 0-3 5-7 6 1 0 0 4 13 6 -
D. Green 28 7-10 0-0 1-1 11 2 2 0 4 15 16 -
D. Roe 27 6-7 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 0 1 13 12 -
C. Allen 19 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 5 1 -
R. Morgan 19 0-7 0-0 0-0 6 5 0 1 2 0 3 -
K. Lucious 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 4 0 -1 -
G. Sherman 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
A. Thornton 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
D. Nix 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Boynton 35 2-12 1-9 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 6 -2 -
D. Werner 32 2-7 1-4 4-4 3 2 1 0 2 9 6 -
E. Walker 30 2-10 1-6 7-8 0 7 3 0 1 12 11 -
V. Macklin 30 4-8 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 2 10 6 -
A. Tyus 26 5-10 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 0 4 11 2 -
C. Parsons 25 4-6 1-3 5-6 2 0 3 0 0 14 13 -
R. Shipman 14 4-5 1-2 1-1 2 1 2 0 0 10 10 -
E. Murphy 7 2-3 0-0 1-1 0 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
K. Kadji 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter