Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.1% | 51.9% | +0.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida Gators +3 (77-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 34 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| D. Summers | 30 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| D. Green | 28 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 16 | - |
| D. Roe | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| C. Allen | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| R. Morgan | 19 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Lucious | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Sherman | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Thornton | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Nix | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Boynton | 35 | 2-12 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| D. Werner | 32 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| E. Walker | 30 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| V. Macklin | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| A. Tyus | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| C. Parsons | 25 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| R. Shipman | 14 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| E. Murphy | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Kadji | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter