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2009-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Florida State Seminoles Spread Result
Elo 66.5% 33.5% -
Bradley-Terry 17.5% 82.5% -
Margin 8.1% 91.9% +13.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.7% 61.3% -

Actual: Florida State Seminoles +15 (82-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Greenleaf 0 3-8 0-1 10-12 9 2 1 0 1 16 19 -
A. Smalley 0 4-10 1-4 2-2 4 2 1 0 4 11 4 -
N. Thomas 0 8-20 5-13 6-6 3 0 0 0 2 27 8 -
K. Carrier 0 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 2 1 3 -
M. Toles 0 4-6 0-1 1-2 2 5 0 0 3 9 7 -

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Kitchen 35 3-6 1-1 1-2 6 6 1 0 1 8 14 -
C. Singleton 34 5-9 3-3 1-2 6 2 1 0 3 14 11 -
M. Snaer 26 1-4 1-1 1-3 3 2 1 0 1 4 5 -
D. Dulkys 23 3-7 3-6 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 9 2 -
S. Alabi 20 3-5 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 4 1 10 12 -
L. Loucks 20 0-2 0-1 0-2 2 3 0 0 0 0 3 -
X. Gibson 17 3-6 1-1 2-4 4 1 0 1 0 9 9 -
R. Reid 17 2-4 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -
J. DeMercy 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
P. Jordan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Monroe 0 5-11 0-0 7-12 8 0 0 7 2 17 19 -
C. Ward 0 5-9 2-5 0-0 6 9 3 0 1 12 20 -
A. Gray 0 1-1 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 0 2 4 9 -
A. Harvin 0 8-19 2-4 0-0 8 4 3 0 3 18 11 -
C. Bravard 0 3-6 0-0 1-4 4 0 0 1 1 7 5 -

* = starter