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2009-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Florida State Seminoles Spread Result
Elo 91.6% 8.4% -
Bradley-Terry 32.5% 67.5% -
Margin 22.8% 77.2% +6.7 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -
Efficiency 4.8% 95.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.9% 54.1% -
Log Adjusted 46.1% 53.9% -

Actual: Florida State Seminoles +9 (60-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Torrance 37 4-8 1-2 0-0 1 3 1 1 3 9 4 -
A. Steele 30 1-3 0-1 2-2 0 2 1 0 1 4 3 -
J. Green 26 4-9 0-0 1-1 8 0 3 1 4 9 8 -
A. Brock 23 2-7 2-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 6 2 -
J. Knox 23 2-4 1-1 1-2 6 0 0 0 0 6 8 -
S. Hillman 23 3-10 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 7 2 -
T. Mitchell 13 2-4 0-1 1-3 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
C. Hines 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
C. Davis 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
B. Eblen 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Kitchen 35 3-6 1-1 1-2 6 6 1 0 1 8 14 -
C. Singleton 34 5-9 3-3 1-2 6 2 1 0 3 14 11 -
M. Snaer 26 1-4 1-1 1-3 3 2 1 0 1 4 5 -
D. Dulkys 23 3-7 3-6 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 9 2 -
S. Alabi 20 3-5 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 4 1 10 12 -
L. Loucks 20 0-2 0-1 0-2 2 3 0 0 0 0 3 -
R. Reid 17 2-4 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -
X. Gibson 17 3-6 1-1 2-4 4 1 0 1 0 9 9 -
J. DeMercy 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
P. Jordan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter