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2009-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 23.1% 76.9% -
Bradley-Terry 32.8% 67.2% -
Margin 20.0% 80.0% +7.6 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 58.5% 41.5% -
Efficiency 93.4% 6.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.0% 15.0% -
Log Adjusted 85.2% 14.8% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins -2 (67-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Veasley 35 2-8 0-3 2-4 2 2 1 0 3 6 0 -
G. Hayward 35 3-14 3-10 2-2 8 1 1 1 3 11 5 -
S. Mack 33 6-10 2-5 7-9 5 0 0 0 2 21 14 -
R. Nored 25 2-5 0-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 6 6 -
Z. Hahn 18 2-5 1-3 4-4 1 1 0 0 0 9 6 -
M. Howard 16 1-1 0-0 4-4 4 0 1 0 2 6 8 -
S. Vanzant 14 2-3 0-1 1-4 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
A. Smith 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. Jukes 7 1-1 1-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 5 3 -
G. Butcher 7 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Anderson 35 3-5 1-2 0-0 0 4 2 0 6 7 2 -
M. Roll 35 3-8 1-3 1-2 3 4 1 0 2 8 6 -
M. Lee 34 4-11 1-5 2-4 3 4 1 0 3 11 5 -
N. Dragovic 26 4-7 2-4 4-5 6 1 0 0 2 14 12 -
D. Gordon 24 4-8 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 1 1 8 5 -
R. Nelson 16 4-7 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 9 6 -
J. Keefe 12 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 2 0 1 1 1 3 -
B. Lane 10 2-3 1-2 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
M. Moser 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 3 3 -
M. Abdul-Hamid 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter