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2009-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 62.9% 37.1% -
Bradley-Terry 19.7% 80.3% -
Margin 10.4% 89.6% +11.9 (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% -
Efficiency 3.8% 96.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.4% 87.6% -
Log Adjusted 12.3% 87.7% -

Actual: Baylor Bears -3 (76-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Torrance 39 6-10 0-0 8-9 4 6 0 0 4 20 16 -
S. Hillman 32 4-11 2-5 5-9 5 2 1 0 2 15 10 -
J. Green 32 9-13 0-0 4-5 6 2 2 1 1 22 19 -
A. Brock 25 3-6 2-4 1-2 1 2 1 0 0 9 7 -
C. Hines 19 2-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
T. Mitchell 14 1-6 0-1 2-3 4 0 1 1 0 4 4 -
J. Knox 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 0 5 -
A. Steele 12 1-1 1-1 2-4 1 3 0 1 2 5 7 -
C. Davis 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
B. Eblen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Udoh 35 7-14 1-2 2-5 10 3 0 2 1 17 17 -
L. Dunn 31 5-16 4-9 5-8 0 1 2 0 1 19 5 -
T. Carter 31 3-12 0-6 1-2 2 8 0 0 1 7 4 -
Q. Acy 25 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 8 10 -
A.J. Walton 24 1-3 0-0 3-4 3 2 2 0 6 5 3 -
A. Jones 22 3-5 1-2 1-2 3 1 0 1 1 8 7 -
J. Lomers 20 6-6 0-0 0-1 8 1 0 0 1 12 14 -
F. Ellis 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Dennis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
O. Griffin 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter