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2009-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 21.5% 78.5% -
Bradley-Terry 37.8% 62.2% -
Margin 23.1% 76.9% +6.6 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 36.7% 63.3% -
Efficiency 15.1% 84.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.5% 85.5% -
Log Adjusted 14.3% 85.7% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +7 (83-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ashford 33 7-12 2-6 0-0 2 2 0 1 2 16 7 -
A. Young 33 3-7 0-0 0-2 2 3 1 0 2 6 3 -
K. Lawson Jr. 27 5-9 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 1 0 10 14 -
P. Stinnett 25 3-10 1-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 4 7 -2 -
K. Korver 24 2-7 2-7 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 6 5 -
J. Carter 24 10-15 1-3 0-0 8 1 0 0 4 21 11 -
C. Witter 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 0 0 -
W. Runnels 15 1-1 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
C. Harriman 15 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 1 0 2 8 -
E. Wragge 8 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 6 5 -
C. Millard 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harris 45 6-15 0-4 8-13 9 11 3 0 4 20 24 -
Z. Novak 38 5-7 3-5 1-2 3 2 2 1 0 14 15 -
D. Sims 38 8-17 0-3 0-0 11 1 0 0 1 16 10 -
L. Lucas-Perry 33 5-11 4-6 4-6 3 1 2 0 3 18 10 -
S. Douglass 27 1-6 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 3 1 -
D. Morris 25 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 5 2 -
A. Wright 7 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
Z. Gibson 7 1-3 0-1 0-2 3 0 1 1 0 2 4 -
M. Vogrich 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter