Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 2.7% | 97.3% | +19.6 | ✗ (46.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins -27 (47-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Smeulders | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 27 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T.J. Campbell | 25 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 8 | - |
| N. Raivio | 25 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| K. Knutson | 23 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Stohl | 21 | 5-5 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| L. Sikma | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| T. Ito | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Mitrovic | 7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| E. Waterford | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Mivshek | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lee | 34 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| M. Roll | 31 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Anderson | 25 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| N. Dragovic | 22 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| J. Keefe | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Gordon | 20 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| R. Nelson | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Moser | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Abdul-Hamid | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Lane | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Morgan | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter