Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Santa Clara Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 11.5% | 88.5% | +11.2 | ✗ (27.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Santa Clara Broncos -16 (72-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jones | 35 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 7 | - |
| E. Platt | 25 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| J. Olubuyi | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| G. Rogers | 24 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. Jones | 24 | 9-13 | 3-5 | 7-9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 21 | - |
| N. Larson | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Lepley | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| R. Wallace | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| S. Saldivar | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Flores | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Smith | 31 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| K. Foster | 31 | 5-18 | 2-11 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | -3 | - |
| M. Trasolini | 29 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| T. Payne | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| R. Cowels III | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| N. Harrison | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C. Cunningham | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Santos | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| P. Bach | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Alexander | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter