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2009-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 27.0% 73.0% -
Bradley-Terry 87.8% 12.2% -
Margin 100.0% 0.0% -43.4 (39.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% -
Efficiency 91.9% 8.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.5% 54.5% -
Log Adjusted 45.4% 54.6% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons -4 (66-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Rush 34 5-13 1-3 5-6 6 5 2 0 4 16 12 -
M. Navarre 34 2-6 1-3 2-2 3 8 1 0 2 7 11 -
B. Johnson 33 5-9 3-7 0-1 3 0 1 1 0 13 9 -
B. Howard 31 9-11 3-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 21 16 -
W. Bynum 29 4-7 0-1 1-2 1 2 3 0 3 9 5 -
C. Anderson 13 2-5 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -2 -
A. Brown 8 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
D. Piepoli 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
B. Louff 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
C. Henderson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Caloiaro 34 3-6 2-3 4-4 4 3 1 0 2 12 12 -
D. Bryant 32 1-4 0-2 0-2 4 1 2 0 2 2 3 -
D. Lowhorn 29 7-16 1-3 4-6 9 1 0 0 3 19 10 -
K. Vaughn 25 5-10 0-3 2-2 2 4 0 0 3 12 5 -
P. Blackwell 25 3-6 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 0 4 8 1 -
R. Green 23 2-5 1-2 2-4 7 1 2 1 2 7 11 -
P. Smith 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
N. Stojiljkovic 10 1-3 0-1 0-1 5 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
M. Diarra 9 0-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter