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2009-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 10.3% 89.7% -
Bradley-Terry 21.8% 78.2% -
Margin 10.5% 89.5% +11.8 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 30.0% 70.0% -
Efficiency 21.3% 78.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.9% 58.1% -
Log Adjusted 42.5% 57.5% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +2 (61-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Vaughn 37 3-9 2-8 0-2 7 6 3 0 1 8 14 -
Y. Gates 36 4-12 0-0 3-5 7 0 1 0 0 11 7 -
L. Stephenson 34 7-14 0-4 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 15 3 -
R. Bishop 30 1-6 1-4 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 3 5 -
D. Dixon 25 2-8 1-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 5 0 -
C. Wright 21 2-8 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 6 1 -
S. Toyloy 19 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
L. Davis 16 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 1 -
D. Wilks 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
J. Parker 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Gray 43 4-8 3-5 2-2 7 4 0 0 2 13 14 -
M. Bouldin 42 1-7 1-4 3-4 11 3 1 0 5 6 9 -
E. Harris 40 5-10 0-3 3-5 7 1 0 0 2 13 9 -
R. Sacre 38 5-10 0-0 4-7 5 0 0 3 3 14 9 -
D. Goodson 38 4-9 0-1 4-5 2 0 2 0 1 12 6 -
W. Foster 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
G. Gibbs 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Arop 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
G.J. Vilarino 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
K. Olynyk 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Kong 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter