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2009-11-24

Model Predictions

Model North Dakota State Bison UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 43.1% 56.9% -
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% -
Margin 30.8% 69.2% +4.4 (5.4 off)
Efficiency 92.5% 7.5% -

Actual: UC Davis Aggies -1 (62-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Dakota State Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Vaughan 38 2-3 1-1 1-1 5 6 2 0 2 6 14 -
M. Tveidt 35 5-12 1-4 5-7 6 3 0 1 4 16 10 -
D. Flowers 27 3-3 0-0 1-1 4 1 1 1 2 7 9 -
E. Carlson 24 8-12 0-0 1-2 5 3 0 0 2 17 11 -
S. Sussenguth 19 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 1 1 4 6 -
J. Aaberg 18 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 6 6 -
M. Felt 13 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 3 3 -
A. Pennick 13 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 2 1 2 -
D. Lundberg 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 3 0 -
N. Zastrow 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Payne 37 6-11 0-1 3-4 4 4 3 1 5 15 11 -
D. Calegari 31 8-13 3-5 4-9 4 2 1 1 1 23 17 -
R. Howley 30 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 2 -
J. Harden 30 2-6 0-2 5-9 5 0 1 1 2 9 8 -
J. Floyd 27 2-8 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 4 -1 -
J. Welch 18 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 -2 -
A. Malik 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Sypkens 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
D. Medlock 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter