Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona State Sun Devils | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.2% | 93.8% | +14.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +11 (64-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Kuksiks | 38 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. McMillan | 36 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Glasser | 28 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| E. Boateng | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -5 | - |
| T. Abbott | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| T. Lockett | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| T. Rohde | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Shipp | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| R. Pateev | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Scheyer | 40 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Singler | 40 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| N. Smith | 40 | 6-14 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | - |
| L. Thomas | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| A. Dawkins | 17 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Kelly | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter