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2009-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento State Hornets Idaho Vandals Spread Result
Elo 21.7% 78.3% -
Bradley-Terry 34.3% 65.7% -
Margin 28.9% 71.1% +4.9 (9.1 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Idaho Vandals +14 (75-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Toles-Bey 29 6-18 0-4 4-4 4 5 1 0 3 16 5 -
M. Selling 28 7-14 1-3 0-0 5 1 2 0 0 15 9 -
M. Marcial 26 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 0 5 -
A. Flaggs 24 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
J. Dickson 22 4-9 2-5 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 10 4 -
J. Eller 20 1-7 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
D. Bjegovic 16 3-6 1-2 2-2 6 0 0 0 2 9 7 -
D. Daniel 14 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 2 1 1 4 4 -
D. Norris 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 -
J. Stigall 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Malloy 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Lopez 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Idaho Vandals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Johnson 30 3-8 2-7 1-2 5 4 1 0 2 9 9 -
K. Watson 29 3-7 0-0 6-11 7 3 0 0 3 12 12 -
M. Hopson 28 2-6 0-3 2-3 7 8 2 1 2 6 16 -
L. Toledo 26 4-5 0-0 7-8 5 1 2 0 1 15 17 -
M. Jefferson 25 5-8 0-0 2-5 5 0 0 3 1 12 11 -
S. Henderson 17 0-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -6 -
K. Barone 15 1-1 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 4 8 -
L. de Souza 11 4-6 3-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 11 6 -
J. Ledbetter 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
M. Lawrence 7 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
C. Stern 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter