Model Predictions
| Model | Manhattan Jaspers | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.1% | 34.9% | -3.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles -7 (62-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Pearson | 35 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| D. Crawford | 33 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 7-11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 19 | - |
| B. Adams | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| L. Jolicoeur | 24 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| P. Bouli | 24 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. Pickett | 22 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| A. Gabriel | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Coulibaly | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Walsh | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Laue | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Jolivette | 35 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | - |
| R. Grafft | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | - |
| D. Munoz | 28 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| S. McCormack | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| S. Lumpkins | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Bersch | 23 | 6-13 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| N. Hendra | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Wilson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Luptak | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter