Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.9% | 96.1% | +17.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +25 (92-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lewis | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| W. Donahue | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| S. Lewis | 26 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| L. Keeler | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Odister | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Hanson | 18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Anderson | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Brown | 13 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| W. Taylor | 12 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| R. Darling | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Royer | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Titchenal | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Hunter | 31 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| O. Samhan | 30 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 31 | - |
| M. Dellavedova | 30 | 7-8 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| M. McConnell | 27 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - |
| B. Allen | 25 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| M. Young | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Steindl | 15 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Levesque | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Williams | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Anderson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Page | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter