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2009-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 14.3% 85.7% -
Bradley-Terry 14.1% 85.9% -
Margin 6.7% 93.3% +14.5 (27.5 off)
Pythagorean 59.4% 40.6% -
Efficiency 10.1% 89.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.1% 43.9% -
Log Adjusted 55.6% 44.4% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks -13 (55-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Johnson 36 3-6 0-1 14-15 4 3 0 0 5 20 16 -
B. Qvale 34 7-8 0-0 1-1 10 0 2 1 0 15 20 -
R. Staudacher 27 2-7 1-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 5 1 -
W. Cherry 22 3-5 0-0 2-5 1 2 3 0 5 8 4 -
D. Selvig 20 0-0 0-0 2-4 5 1 0 0 3 2 5 -
M. Taylor 19 3-5 2-4 4-4 2 1 1 0 3 12 8 -
J. McGillis 18 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
R. Young 8 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -2 -
M. Ward 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
V. Banny 5 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Stockton 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Armstead 37 3-8 0-1 3-4 2 4 4 0 3 9 8 -
T. Williams 26 4-8 2-2 6-8 5 0 1 1 4 16 11 -
J. Jacob 26 2-9 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 1 0 6 4 -
T. Porter 24 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 -3 -
L. Longmire 23 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 4 -2 -
G. Sim 21 4-7 2-4 1-1 2 2 0 0 2 11 6 -
E.J. Singler 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
J. Crittle 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. Humphrey 9 2-6 1-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 7 3 -
J. Wilson 7 0-1 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
D. Wiley 6 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter