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2009-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Army Black Knights Spread Result
Elo 74.7% 25.3% -
Bradley-Terry 71.3% 28.7% -
Margin 74.0% 26.0% -5.8 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 50.5% 49.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.1% 75.9% -
Log Adjusted 23.9% 76.1% -

Actual: Army Black Knights +3 (56-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. McNally 34 4-6 2-4 5-7 2 1 2 0 3 15 11 -
J. Lin 31 0-6 0-6 6-13 5 4 3 2 8 6 6 -
K. Wright 25 2-2 0-0 0-1 5 0 1 2 3 4 7 -
D. Giger 21 3-6 1-2 1-1 3 0 2 0 4 8 3 -
K. Casey 20 1-2 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 2 6 3 5 -
B. Curry 16 1-3 0-2 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 4 0 -
A. Van Nest 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
P. Magnarelli 12 1-2 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 2 3 3 7 -
C. Webster 12 0-3 0-3 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Miller 11 2-2 0-0 1-1 0 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
M. Kenyi 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Army Black Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Walker 31 2-4 0-0 2-2 9 0 4 0 2 6 13 -
J. Simmons 24 4-11 3-6 5-7 0 0 0 0 4 16 1 -
J. Hence 24 1-5 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
M. Nelson 23 2-5 0-0 3-4 2 1 2 0 1 7 6 -
C. Richard 22 3-8 1-4 5-6 3 4 3 0 2 12 12 -
J. Miller 20 2-7 0-4 1-3 2 2 4 0 4 5 2 -
M. McDonald 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Pancoe 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
E. Ellis 9 0-1 0-1 1-3 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
E. Zastoupil 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
T. Thompson 8 1-4 0-0 1-1 0 1 1 0 3 3 -2 -
J. Sizemore 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Springer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter