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2009-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 48.5% 51.5% -
Bradley-Terry 65.1% 34.9% -
Margin 64.4% 35.6% -3.3 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 36.5% 63.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.9% 79.1% -
Log Adjusted 19.5% 80.5% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers -13 (61-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Gray 38 7-12 0-3 1-2 5 2 0 0 2 15 8 -
M. Bouldin 37 5-13 1-3 7-7 6 5 2 0 0 18 18 -
E. Harris 34 5-12 1-2 1-2 8 1 1 0 0 12 10 -
D. Goodson 28 3-6 0-1 3-5 2 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
R. Sacre 20 3-4 0-0 7-7 6 0 0 1 2 13 14 -
G.J. Vilarino 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Olynyk 12 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 2 4 -
B. Kong 10 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
G. Gibbs 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
W. Foster 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Arop 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Hart 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bohannon 33 2-8 1-7 2-2 8 3 0 0 2 7 8 -
J. Leuer 32 8-17 0-3 2-2 5 4 0 0 1 18 9 -
T. Hughes 30 4-8 2-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 10 5 -
K. Nankivil 28 2-9 0-3 1-2 4 1 0 1 0 5 2 -
J. Taylor 27 7-10 2-3 3-6 0 2 0 1 0 19 12 -
T. Jarmusz 25 0-3 0-2 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 2 3 -
M. Bruesewitz 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
R. Evans 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
R. Wilson 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter