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2009-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Saint Francis Red Wolves Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 72.5% 27.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% - โœ“
Margin 7.3% 92.7% +14.0 โœ“ (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.6% 55.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 3.4% 96.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.9% 97.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.4% 75.6% - โœ“

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers +5 (75-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Francis Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Killian 0 0-3 0-0 0-2 6 0 1 1 2 0 3 -
A. Daly 0 5-16 2-10 2-3 2 2 2 0 0 14 4 -
S. Leach 0 7-13 2-3 4-5 7 4 0 0 1 20 17 -
B. Hodges 0 6-9 2-3 2-3 1 3 1 0 2 16 10 -
Q. Johnson 0 2-16 1-5 0-1 5 1 0 0 0 5 -5 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Cole 0 2-4 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 1 0 5 9 -
S. Wilson 0 2-2 0-0 0-2 5 2 0 3 4 4 8 -
S. Scott 0 2-9 0-1 0-2 8 3 0 1 4 4 3 -
T. Harrison 0 10-20 2-6 3-4 7 6 1 0 3 25 16 -
J. Sims 0 8-15 2-4 5-7 0 7 0 2 5 23 12 -

* = starter