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2009-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 5.6% 94.4% -
Bradley-Terry 45.8% 54.2% -
Margin 40.2% 59.8% +2.2 (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% -
Efficiency 72.9% 27.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.1% 48.9% -
Log Adjusted 50.8% 49.2% -

Actual: Florida Gators +16 (68-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Kitchen 32 6-14 1-4 2-2 4 1 4 0 5 15 5 -
L. Loucks 28 0-6 0-5 0-0 4 2 1 0 4 0 -3 -
C. Singleton 27 4-11 2-6 4-4 4 1 3 2 4 14 9 -
R. Reid 26 1-4 0-0 2-4 6 2 0 0 3 4 5 -
S. Alabi 24 4-8 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 8 6 -
M. Snaer 18 1-4 0-0 3-4 4 2 1 0 3 5 5 -
J. DeMercy 17 1-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 2 0 -
D. Dulkys 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
X. Gibson 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 6 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Werner 33 2-2 2-2 0-0 3 4 2 1 4 6 10 -
K. Boynton 32 3-11 0-5 7-9 3 2 1 0 4 13 4 -
E. Walker 30 6-15 1-6 0-2 4 3 2 0 3 13 4 -
A. Tyus 29 6-13 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 1 2 13 8 -
C. Parsons 28 3-4 1-2 1-3 7 3 2 0 2 8 14 -
V. Macklin 24 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 6 6 -
R. Shipman 17 2-4 1-2 4-6 2 1 1 0 2 9 7 -
K. Kadji 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
R. Tishman 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. McClanahan 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
H. Fricke 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter