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2009-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 30.1% 69.9% +4.9 โœ“ (0.9 off)
Bradley-Terry 41.3% 58.7% - โœ“
Margin 36.8% 63.2% +3.0 โœ“ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 45.2% 54.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 45.2% 54.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.0% 56.0% - โœ“

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +4 (91-87). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cory Higgins 41 10-22 1-3 7-7 4 2 0 0 2 28 10 -
Alec Burks 38 5-12 0-4 9-10 4 1 2 0 3 19 11 -
N. Tomlinson 33 7-9 3-3 3-3 3 4 0 0 2 20 16 -
A. Dufault 29 4-7 1-3 5-7 11 1 1 0 0 14 20 -
Casey Crawford 20 0-1 0-1 0-1 4 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
D. Thorne II 19 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 0 2 -
K. Hornbuckle 17 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 2 2 -
M. Relphorde 17 0-7 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -5 -
S. Harris-Tunks 11 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 1 1 3 6 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Lavender 36 6-9 3-6 1-2 3 2 1 0 2 16 11 -
J. Horne 34 6-9 5-5 0-1 8 3 0 7 1 17 25 -
Solomon Hill 32 3-7 0-1 1-2 6 2 0 0 3 7 5 -
Derrick Williams 32 3-9 0-0 5-6 9 0 1 1 3 11 10 -
N. Wise 32 9-15 5-9 7-8 4 6 0 0 2 30 23 -
Kyle Fogg 26 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 5 5 -
Kyryl Natyazhko 15 1-3 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
Lamont Jones 13 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 -
G. Judkins 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Jacobson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter