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2009-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 15.2% 84.8% -
Bradley-Terry 41.1% 58.9% -
Margin 38.1% 61.9% +2.7 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% -
Efficiency 39.4% 60.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.8% 43.2% -
Log Adjusted 56.7% 43.3% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +1 (73-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith 31 3-7 0-0 4-5 4 3 0 0 2 10 8 -
W. Chism 30 8-13 1-4 7-7 6 0 0 2 3 24 16 -
B. Maze 26 4-9 1-1 4-4 5 2 0 0 0 13 11 -
S. Hopson 26 3-8 0-2 3-4 4 1 1 0 4 9 3 -
J.P. Prince 21 0-4 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Tatum 19 3-4 1-2 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 8 8 -
S. McBee 15 0-1 0-1 3-3 2 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
M. Goins 14 0-4 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 1 -5 -
B. Williams 13 2-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 1 2 4 3 -
K. Hall 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Woolridge 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Hummel 37 7-16 1-6 5-6 7 3 1 0 1 20 14 -
E. Moore 36 8-16 2-5 4-5 3 3 0 1 3 22 10 -
C. Kramer 31 2-5 0-0 2-2 5 2 1 1 1 6 9 -
K. Grant 21 0-2 0-2 4-5 3 2 1 1 1 4 8 -
J. Johnson 18 5-8 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 11 4 -
P. Bade 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 2 3 -
K. Barlow 16 1-2 0-0 1-4 6 2 1 0 3 3 7 -
R. Smith 14 0-3 0-2 2-2 0 0 1 1 0 2 1 -
M. Wohlford 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
D.J. Byrd 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter