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Colorado Buffaloes 72
@
Gonzaga Bulldogs 76
2009-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 13.9% 86.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 21.6% 78.4% - ✓
Margin 11.1% 88.9% +11.5 ✓ (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 36.5% 63.5% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 47.4% 52.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 48.4% 51.6% - ✓

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +4 (76-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Higgins 35 7-16 1-4 4-5 6 2 3 1 4 19 11 -
N. Tomlinson 33 1-5 0-1 6-7 1 8 0 0 2 8 10 -
A. Dufault 26 3-4 1-1 0-2 2 1 0 0 0 7 6 -
M. Relphorde 24 4-7 1-2 1-2 2 2 1 0 1 10 7 -
A. Burks 23 5-6 1-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 5 11 6 -
C. Crawford 23 4-8 2-4 0-0 2 1 2 2 0 10 9 -
D. Thorne II 16 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
K. Hornbuckle 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 5 -
S. Harris-Tunks 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Gray 38 6-12 4-7 11-14 4 0 1 0 3 27 17 -
M. Bouldin 38 6-11 1-3 8-8 5 5 3 0 2 21 21 -
R. Sacre 33 4-10 0-0 2-6 7 0 0 0 1 10 6 -
E. Harris 32 2-5 0-1 4-7 10 0 1 1 2 8 13 -
D. Goodson 31 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 0 1 2 2 -
K. Olynyk 12 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 4 2 -
G.J. Vilarino 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
G. Gibbs 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Arop 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
W. Foster 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter