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2009-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 55.0% 45.0% -
Bradley-Terry 51.2% 48.8% -
Margin 44.1% 55.9% +1.3 (26.3 off)
Pythagorean 81.5% 18.5% -
Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.8% 5.2% -
Log Adjusted 94.8% 5.2% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -25 (60-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. James 29 4-8 1-4 1-2 12 0 1 3 3 10 15 -
V. Ward 25 1-4 1-4 5-8 4 2 3 0 3 8 10 -
A. Bradley 23 4-6 1-2 2-4 2 2 0 0 1 11 8 -
D. Pittman 22 7-9 0-0 1-1 8 0 1 3 2 15 16 -
J. Hamilton 20 5-9 4-8 2-3 2 5 2 0 2 16 14 -
J. Brown 19 5-10 0-5 4-4 1 2 1 0 3 14 5 -
D. Balbay 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 4 2 3 1 2 8 -
G. Johnson 15 1-2 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 1 0 4 10 -
J. Mason 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 2 6 -
A. Wangmene 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Williams 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
M. Hill 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Melchionni 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Payne 37 2-11 2-7 2-3 4 6 1 0 4 8 4 -
M. Gatens 31 5-16 1-6 0-0 4 1 2 0 3 11 -1 -
A. Tucker 31 3-14 2-11 0-0 4 3 1 0 4 8 -2 -
J. Cole 27 2-5 0-0 5-8 3 0 2 0 0 9 9 -
B. Cougill 25 4-5 2-3 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 11 11 -
D. Bawinkel 24 3-7 3-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 3 -
E. May 20 1-4 0-2 2-2 5 1 1 1 2 4 6 -
A. Brommer 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
A. Fuller 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter