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2009-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 10.8% 89.2% -
Bradley-Terry 51.0% 49.0% -
Margin 40.0% 60.0% +2.2 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 37.3% 62.7% -
Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.9% 59.1% -
Log Adjusted 40.5% 59.5% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -9 (58-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Stephenson 32 4-10 0-4 0-0 5 0 3 0 2 8 4 -
D. Dixon 30 5-12 1-4 1-1 10 1 0 1 2 12 10 -
Y. Gates 25 7-13 0-0 2-2 10 1 0 1 4 16 11 -
R. Bishop 24 4-6 1-2 0-0 6 3 1 1 0 9 14 -
S. Toyloy 24 1-4 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 1 1 4 6 -
C. Wright 24 2-13 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 4 -5 -
D. Vaughn 15 1-3 1-2 5-6 2 2 1 0 4 8 6 -
L. Davis 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 0 3 -
J. Parker 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
D. Wilks 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Beal 35 4-11 2-7 6-7 0 0 4 0 2 16 7 -
J. Taylor 32 2-8 0-1 7-9 6 2 3 0 4 11 10 -
A. Walker 29 1-5 0-0 2-2 9 1 0 1 3 4 7 -
J. Jenkins 25 4-9 3-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 11 3 -
A.J. Ogilvy 22 3-8 0-0 7-9 6 1 0 2 0 13 14 -
B. Tinsley 18 0-5 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -7 -
F. Ezeli 15 0-0 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 3 1 2 5 -
D. McClellan 10 0-2 0-1 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Tchiengang 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 1 0 -
L. Goulbourne 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
C. Hinkle 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter