Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.7% | 17.3% | -8.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles -16 (56-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Hawkins | 36 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| D. Needham | 35 | 6-13 | 0-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| L. Jordan | 30 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| R. Olander | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| M. Evanovich | 19 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| A. Johnson | 19 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| S. Crawford | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| S. Johnson | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Nickerson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Hendra | 35 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| S. Lumpkins | 35 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| B. Jolivette | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| R. Grafft | 22 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Luptak | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Munoz | 19 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| M. Bersch | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| S. McCormack | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Wilson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter