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2009-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Fairfield Stags American University Eagles Spread Result
Elo 38.1% 61.9% -
Bradley-Terry 45.1% 54.9% -
Margin 40.3% 59.7% +2.2 (18.2 off)
Efficiency 96.0% 4.0% -

Actual: American University Eagles -16 (56-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fairfield Stags

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Hawkins 36 8-11 1-1 1-2 3 3 4 0 1 18 16 -
D. Needham 35 6-13 0-5 1-3 3 7 4 0 1 13 13 -
L. Jordan 30 3-6 2-4 2-2 1 1 3 0 0 10 9 -
R. Olander 19 4-7 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 0 9 8 -
M. Evanovich 19 3-5 3-4 2-2 2 1 0 1 2 11 8 -
A. Johnson 19 2-9 0-0 4-4 5 2 2 1 0 8 9 -
S. Crawford 18 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 2 1 0 3 6 -
S. Johnson 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Nickerson 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Hendra 35 5-6 3-4 1-3 7 2 1 0 2 14 16 -
S. Lumpkins 35 5-15 0-0 4-8 9 1 1 2 1 14 11 -
B. Jolivette 24 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 4 0 0 4 2 -3 -
R. Grafft 22 3-8 0-1 0-0 5 4 0 1 4 6 4 -
S. Luptak 20 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 3 4 -
D. Munoz 19 3-6 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 7 0 -
M. Bersch 19 2-6 2-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 6 2 -
S. McCormack 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 4 6 -
M. Wilson 11 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 0 3 0 0 -

* = starter