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2009-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Charlotte 49ers Spread Result
Elo 9.0% 91.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 12.0% 88.0% - โœ“
Margin 5.1% 94.9% +16.1 โœ“ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 34.1% 65.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.7% 97.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.7% 97.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.6% 79.4% - โœ“

Actual: Charlotte 49ers +14 (88-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Zampier 37 3-10 2-5 11-13 4 2 2 0 4 19 13 -
J. Gibson 30 10-14 3-4 2-2 7 1 1 0 1 25 19 -
M. Sands 25 3-5 0-0 5-6 3 1 0 0 1 11 9 -
J. Davis 24 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 3 1 1 2 4 5 -
P. Braswell 22 0-3 0-2 2-2 2 5 1 0 2 2 5 -
R. Anderson 19 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Grace 17 3-6 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 1 -
R. Willhite 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 3 0 2 5 -
R. Mantilla 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
B. Katz 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Martin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Morgan 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Charlotte 49ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris 34 1-2 0-0 9-11 1 6 0 0 2 11 14 -
C. Dewhurst 27 2-6 0-1 4-4 7 5 4 1 2 8 17 -
P. Jones 26 3-5 0-0 4-5 7 3 0 4 0 10 19 -
S. Spears 26 13-15 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 1 0 28 21 -
D. Green 25 6-13 6-11 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 18 7 -
C. Braswell 20 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 0 2 -
I. Andersen 16 2-6 1-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 0 -
R. Coleman 13 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 3 5 -
S. Bowden 6 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 5 0 -
K.J. Sherrill 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Sirin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter