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2009-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 78.1% 21.9% -
Bradley-Terry 86.0% 14.0% -
Margin 90.8% 9.2% -12.6 (19.6 off)
Pythagorean 31.9% 68.1% -
Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.4% 87.6% -
Log Adjusted 12.2% 87.8% -

Actual: Portland Pilots +7 (88-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Porter 34 6-15 3-10 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 15 5 -
T. Williams 30 6-12 1-3 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 13 6 -
M. Armstead 29 9-15 3-4 0-0 4 2 3 0 0 21 15 -
L. Longmire 23 3-8 0-2 3-4 1 1 1 0 1 9 3 -
J. Catron 22 1-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 2 4 -
E.J. Singler 18 1-3 0-1 4-4 2 1 1 0 0 6 7 -
J. Jacob 17 3-6 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
J. Wilson 14 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 3 3 -
G. Sim 10 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
M. Humphrey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Wiley 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Campbell 36 5-6 2-3 4-4 2 5 0 0 1 16 16 -
N. Raivio 33 10-20 3-5 1-2 8 3 0 0 2 24 13 -
E. Niedermeyer 31 4-7 3-5 0-0 6 2 0 0 3 11 9 -
R. Smeulders 26 4-8 0-0 9-12 8 1 1 0 0 17 19 -
L. Sikma 26 2-7 0-0 0-0 7 3 2 1 3 4 7 -
J. Stohl 23 3-7 3-6 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 9 3 -
K. Knutson 15 2-3 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
T. Ito 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 4 -
N. Mitrovic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter