Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon Ducks | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 90.8% | 9.2% | -12.6 | ✗ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots +7 (88-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Porter | 34 | 6-15 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| T. Williams | 30 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| M. Armstead | 29 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| L. Longmire | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Catron | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| E.J. Singler | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Jacob | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Wilson | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| G. Sim | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Humphrey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Wiley | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Campbell | 36 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| N. Raivio | 33 | 10-20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 13 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 31 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| L. Sikma | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Stohl | 23 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| K. Knutson | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Ito | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| N. Mitrovic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter