Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.7% | 38.3% | -2.6 | ✗ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +13 (112-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Coleman | 35 | 13-30 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 15 | - |
| K. Lewis | 32 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Wade | 31 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| A. Brown | 29 | 9-12 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 21 | - |
| S. Coleman | 17 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| M. McNeil | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| K. Van Slyke | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Z. Nixon | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Broughton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Haywood | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Washington | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Clark | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Babbitt | 38 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 16 | - |
| A. Johnson | 38 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 27 | - |
| J. Shaw | 35 | 9-12 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 20 | - |
| B. Fields | 27 | 10-14 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 19 | - |
| D. Hunt | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - |
| R. Kraemer | 21 | 7-9 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| L. Giles | 10 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| M. Cukic | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Carp | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter