🐻⬇️🏀

@
2009-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 90.7% 9.3% -
Bradley-Terry 61.6% 38.4% -
Margin 61.7% 38.3% -2.6 (15.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.9% 61.1% -
Efficiency 62.2% 37.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.3% 64.7% -
Log Adjusted 35.3% 64.7% -

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +13 (112-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Coleman 35 13-30 0-4 6-7 7 3 4 0 1 32 15 -
K. Lewis 32 3-12 1-4 1-2 4 1 2 1 1 8 3 -
D. Wade 31 4-9 0-1 4-5 1 5 2 1 1 12 11 -
A. Brown 29 9-12 5-8 2-2 2 0 6 0 0 25 21 -
S. Coleman 17 4-6 3-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 11 5 -
M. McNeil 16 1-5 0-0 3-5 2 0 0 0 1 5 1 -
K. Van Slyke 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
Z. Nixon 12 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 4 3 -
K. Broughton 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
N. Haywood 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Washington 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Clark 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Babbitt 38 6-13 2-3 0-0 17 3 0 2 7 14 16 -
A. Johnson 38 8-11 0-0 6-8 7 12 2 0 5 22 27 -
J. Shaw 35 9-12 1-3 7-8 9 2 0 0 5 26 20 -
B. Fields 27 10-14 4-7 0-1 7 3 0 2 3 24 19 -
D. Hunt 24 1-3 0-0 1-5 9 2 0 1 0 3 12 -
R. Kraemer 21 7-9 4-6 1-2 3 3 0 0 0 19 16 -
L. Giles 10 0-6 0-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 0 -5 -
M. Cukic 4 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
A. Carp 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter