Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Kansas State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +8 (83-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Warren | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| C. Johnson | 27 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 7-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| M. Johnson | 26 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | - |
| C. Wright | 25 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| P. Williams | 23 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| L. Fabrizius | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Searcy | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Perry | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Kavanaugh | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Benson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pullen | 36 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 12-14 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 18 | - |
| D. Clemente | 32 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 5-10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| D. Sutton | 29 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| J. Samuels | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | - |
| C. Kelly | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| W. Judge | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| J. Henriquez | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. McGruder | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Irving | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| C. Merriewether | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| V. Ojeleye | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter