Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Kansas State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.3% | 75.7% | +6.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.0% | 82.0% | +8.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +8 (83-75). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| London Warren * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Marcus Johnson * | 26 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Chris Wright * | 25 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Kurt Huelsman * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Devin Searcy * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Chris Johnson | 27 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 7-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Paul Williams | 23 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Luke Fabrizius | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Mickey Perry | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Matt Kavanaugh | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Benson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Pullen * | 36 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 12-14 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Denis Clemente * | 32 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 5-10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Dominique Sutton * | 29 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Curtis Kelly * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Henriquez * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jamar Samuels | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Wally Judge | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Rodney McGruder | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Martavious Irving | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Chris Merriewether | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Victor Ojeleye | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter