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2009-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Little Rock Trojans Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 8.5% 91.5% -
Bradley-Terry 12.2% 87.8% -
Margin 4.3% 95.7% +17.1 (2.1 off)

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +15 (80-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Bozeman 38 3-5 1-2 9-10 5 5 1 0 5 16 17 -
A. Garcia-Mendoza 36 2-9 0-4 4-4 9 0 1 0 3 8 6 -
M. Smith 33 4-8 0-1 2-3 7 0 2 0 0 10 11 -
M. Mouzy 25 5-11 4-8 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 16 6 -
W. Burton 19 1-3 0-0 0-3 2 1 0 1 1 2 2 -
N. Cicic 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 -
C. Jackson 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
K. Stewart 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
D. Bails 8 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
L. Foster 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
M. Thornton 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 -
R. Davison 2 3-3 3-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 7 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Stinnett 25 3-9 0-3 7-9 2 5 1 0 3 13 9 -
C. Witter 23 4-8 2-4 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 10 8 -
K. Lawson Jr. 23 4-8 0-0 3-4 9 1 2 2 1 11 16 -
K. Korver 22 4-9 4-8 0-0 2 1 3 0 0 12 9 -
D. Ashford 21 3-8 0-5 2-2 6 2 0 1 4 8 5 -
A. Young 18 3-3 2-2 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 10 10 -
W. Runnels 15 2-3 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 1 1 4 6 -
E. Wragge 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 3 6 -
J. Jones 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
A. Bock 11 0-4 0-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 2 -2 -
C. Harriman 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
C. Millard 5 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Sebastian 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
M. Dorwart 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter