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2009-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Valparaiso Beacons Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 2.0% 98.0% -
Bradley-Terry 10.0% 90.0% -
Margin 2.4% 97.6% +20.5 (9.5 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +30 (90-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Valparaiso Beacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Wood 31 7-18 1-6 9-10 2 0 2 0 3 24 7 -
C. Johnson 30 6-14 0-1 4-9 2 1 0 0 2 16 3 -
B. McPherson 28 3-10 2-5 1-2 2 3 0 0 1 9 3 -
H. Little 26 1-4 0-1 0-0 6 3 3 0 0 2 10 -
M. Rogers 22 2-7 0-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 4 0 -
R. Broekhoff 16 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 2 -
T. Kurth 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 0 3 -
M. Milosevic 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Kenney 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 2 -
C. Witt 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
C. Halvorsen 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
N. Shelton 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Morgan 28 3-5 0-1 3-4 6 1 1 3 1 9 14 -
K. Lucas 27 4-8 1-3 6-6 1 3 2 0 2 15 11 -
C. Allen 25 7-10 3-5 5-6 4 0 0 0 2 22 14 -
D. Roe 23 3-6 0-0 4-8 17 2 1 4 1 10 27 -
D. Summers 22 4-10 1-3 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 10 2 -
D. Green 22 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 1 1 8 13 -
K. Lucious 22 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 9 0 0 2 5 11 -
A. Thornton 8 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
D. Nix 6 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Ianni 6 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
G. Sherman 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
T. Herzog 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
I. Dahlman 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
M. Kebler 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Crandell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter