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2009-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Loyola Marymount Lions USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 4.4% 95.6% -
Bradley-Terry 19.0% 81.0% -
Margin 9.7% 90.3% +12.2 (20.2 off)
Pythagorean 33.9% 66.1% -
Efficiency 8.6% 91.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.9% 97.1% -
Log Adjusted 2.6% 97.4% -

Actual: USC Trojans -8 (59-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Loyola Marymount Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. DuBois 37 5-8 4-5 3-4 6 1 3 0 1 17 18 -
V. Teel 31 1-4 0-0 5-6 7 7 0 0 2 7 15 -
E. Garibay 30 6-9 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 12 10 -
K. Young 30 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 2 1 -
D. Viney 29 4-11 2-5 4-4 5 1 1 0 4 14 6 -
L. Davis 25 3-8 0-0 3-5 0 0 1 0 3 9 -1 -
T. Diederichs 10 1-2 0-0 2-3 2 1 1 0 1 4 5 -
L. Armstead 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
G. Kalipinde 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Vucevic 40 8-13 0-0 3-4 11 3 2 0 2 19 20 -
D. Smith 40 4-10 1-4 1-2 2 2 0 0 3 10 1 -
D. Lewis 37 3-12 0-3 5-7 3 4 0 0 2 11 4 -
M. Simmons 35 4-6 0-0 3-3 5 0 1 0 2 11 9 -
K. Cunningham 25 3-7 0-0 2-2 5 0 3 1 2 8 8 -
E. Smith 23 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 0 -4 -

* = starter