Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.4% | 90.6% | +12.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +17 (72-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Urbanus | 37 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Wolfinger | 32 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| C. Wells | 32 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| A. Dahn | 23 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Morabbi | 22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Eykyn | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Streeter | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Holston | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| H. DuPont | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Groselle | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Cherry | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Leonard | 34 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Mallett | 30 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| K. Weems | 26 | 8-14 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - |
| C. Patterson | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| N. Ricks | 19 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| K. Pickens | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. McFarland | 16 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| W. Creekmore | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Jehle | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Rhine | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Jones | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter