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2009-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 28.1% 71.9% -
Bradley-Terry 24.9% 75.1% -
Margin 15.3% 84.7% +9.4 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 31.8% 68.2% -
Efficiency 30.4% 69.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.1% 96.9% -
Log Adjusted 3.0% 97.0% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +9 (78-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Freeman 32 4-12 2-9 4-4 7 2 1 0 2 14 10 -
K. Dillard 30 2-10 0-6 4-4 2 2 0 0 2 8 0 -
C. Fay 29 3-11 0-4 1-2 4 1 1 1 1 7 2 -
J. Bocot 24 2-6 2-4 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 8 5 -
J. Freeman 23 3-4 1-1 4-4 5 2 0 0 1 11 13 -
K. Brown-Surles 19 2-5 0-2 1-1 2 2 0 0 0 5 4 -
N. Evans 19 4-6 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 0 0 12 8 -
E. Teague 13 1-4 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
A. Booker 9 0-1 0-0 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Crowder 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Stanback 26 4-8 0-2 0-1 5 4 1 0 1 8 9 -
T. Willis 26 8-11 2-3 7-7 7 4 0 0 3 25 22 -
D. Jasper 26 3-3 1-1 4-9 5 7 0 0 2 11 18 -
O. Bellfield 24 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 3 1 1 2 2 8 -
M. Shaw 21 4-7 1-4 4-4 3 1 0 1 0 13 11 -
S. Jones Jr. 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Wallace 15 2-5 2-5 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 8 4 -
J. Hawkins 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 0 -1 -
A. Marshall 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -2 -
D. Santee 10 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 2 0 5 5 -
B. Massamba 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 4 3 -

* = starter