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2009-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Mercer Bears Spread Result
Elo 58.1% 41.9% -
Bradley-Terry 81.2% 18.8% -
Margin 89.7% 10.3% -11.9 (27.1 off)
Efficiency 66.6% 33.4% -

Actual: Mercer Bears -39 (50-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Singleton 27 3-7 2-3 1-2 14 7 2 2 1 9 26 -
J. DeMercy 24 4-6 1-2 3-4 2 2 1 0 1 12 10 -
D. Kitchen 22 4-7 0-1 2-2 3 2 2 0 4 10 6 -
M. Snaer 20 1-2 1-1 2-8 1 0 1 1 0 5 6 -
S. Alabi 20 4-6 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 5 1 12 15 -
D. Dulkys 20 4-7 4-6 2-2 3 0 1 2 1 14 12 -
R. Reid 19 3-3 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 1 2 7 9 -
L. Loucks 19 1-2 0-1 0-2 4 4 4 0 1 2 11 -
X. Gibson 17 5-10 0-3 2-6 1 0 0 2 2 12 3 -
P. Jordan 10 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
J. Moreau 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Florence 30 3-15 2-8 6-6 3 3 3 0 3 14 5 -
J. Smith 30 1-9 1-5 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 3 -6 -
D. Emerson 29 1-7 0-1 1-2 12 0 0 0 2 3 6 -
B. Mills 23 1-5 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 4 5 -1 -
E.J. Kusnyer 21 1-9 1-7 0-0 6 0 1 1 4 3 -2 -
B. Moore 14 0-3 0-2 4-8 5 0 1 0 0 4 7 -
R. Pulkauninkas 12 0-2 0-2 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Jenkins 10 2-10 0-0 2-3 7 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
T. Swann 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 2 4 -
M. Hall 9 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 1 -
B. Walker 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
C. Smith 2 3-3 1-1 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
M. Jackson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. O'Shaughnessey 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Gollon 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter