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2009-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Western Illinois Leathernecks Central Arkansas Bears Spread Result
Elo 16.3% 83.7% -
Bradley-Terry 57.0% 43.0% -
Margin 55.0% 45.0% -1.1 (8.9 off)

Actual: Central Arkansas Bears -10 (46-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Western Illinois Leathernecks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nurse 34 0-3 0-3 3-4 3 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
Q. Kirby 32 5-10 2-3 0-1 4 0 1 0 3 12 4 -
J. Granstra 31 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 3 2 3 -
C. Clark III 28 2-7 1-5 11-12 7 3 1 0 0 16 20 -
M. Lander 27 3-4 0-1 0-3 4 3 0 0 2 6 7 -
A. Mims 14 1-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
D. Gebru 11 3-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 6 0 -
T. Tyler 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
A. Niang 7 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
J. Johnson 6 0-1 0-1 2-2 3 0 2 1 1 2 6 -
J. Felton 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Central Arkansas Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Rehmel 38 1-6 0-2 1-3 1 0 1 0 1 3 -2 -
M. Pouncy 35 6-17 1-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 13 1 -
M. Rueter 27 3-10 0-4 3-6 5 0 0 0 2 9 2 -
T. Sheppard 25 2-5 0-0 3-8 8 0 0 1 0 7 11 -
D. Clayborn 24 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 3 2 0 1 0 5 -
C. Dos Santos 20 1-4 0-0 1-4 3 0 1 0 2 3 1 -
I. Qahwash 14 2-4 0-0 2-3 6 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
C. Henson 10 2-2 1-1 0-1 1 1 0 1 0 5 6 -
R. Daniels 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Williams 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter