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2009-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Alabama State Hornets Belmont Bruins Spread Result
Elo 3.0% 97.0% -
Bradley-Terry 7.3% 92.7% -
Margin 1.8% 98.2% +22.0 (14.0 off)

Actual: Belmont Bruins +36 (78-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. White 34 1-8 0-1 0-1 8 0 2 0 3 2 1 -
T. Moorer 27 4-10 0-1 4-7 5 1 3 2 2 12 11 -
M. Mundadi 26 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 3 -3 -
T. Butler 24 2-10 2-4 5-8 4 1 3 1 1 11 9 -
C. Duncan 21 3-9 1-3 2-5 2 0 4 1 3 9 4 -
R. Sanders 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 2 2 -
J. Middlebrooks 17 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -3 -
J. Mumpfield 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A.J. Spencer 10 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 3 3 -
B. Walker 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Belmont Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Clark 28 3-9 2-5 0-0 1 1 2 0 4 8 -1 -
J. Campbell 24 2-7 1-4 0-0 4 4 0 1 1 5 6 -
M. Hedgepeth 22 2-5 0-0 7-8 10 0 0 4 1 11 19 -
K. Johnson 21 4-5 0-1 1-3 6 1 0 0 2 9 9 -
K. Belcher 20 6-9 3-6 2-2 6 2 0 0 2 17 14 -
S. Saunders 20 4-5 0-0 5-6 4 0 1 1 0 13 14 -
D. Hanlen 19 3-4 1-1 0-0 2 4 3 0 3 7 9 -
J. House 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
T. Noack 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 3 1 -
B. Baker 11 1-4 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
A. Barnes 7 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter