Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.8% | 39.2% | -2.4 | ✓ (21.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.9% | 7.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -24 (46-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Beitzel | 32 | 9-16 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 14 | - |
| W. Figures | 25 | 3-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. Montgomery | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Proctor | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Y. Bonner | 21 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| C. Kaba | 18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| N. Kingman | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| E. Lloyd | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Arnold | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| C. Osborne | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| H. Brereton | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Hall | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Washington | 34 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | - |
| G. Parker | 26 | 0-10 | 0-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | - |
| S. Schafer | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Lyons | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| S. Hempsey | 19 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Merriex | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Stewart | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Broekhuis | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Fow | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. McLain | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| T. Fletcher | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter