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2009-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Army Black Knights Princeton Tigers Spread Result
Elo 9.7% 90.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 16.1% 83.9% - โœ—
Margin 9.5% 90.5% +12.4 โœ— (16.4 off)
Pythagorean 34.8% 65.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 9.1% 90.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 9.0% 91.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 25.7% 74.3% - โœ—

Actual: Princeton Tigers -4 (52-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Army Black Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Miller 35 1-6 1-3 2-2 9 5 2 1 7 5 9 -
M. Nelson 34 4-8 0-0 0-1 6 3 1 1 4 8 7 -
C. Richard 31 7-14 1-4 3-7 3 2 8 0 3 18 14 -
C. Walker 22 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 4 5 -
J. Hence 20 1-1 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 3 3 2 -
E. Zastoupil 19 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
J. Simmons 13 3-7 2-4 2-4 1 0 1 0 4 10 1 -
E. Ellis 10 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
J. Sizemore 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Thompson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. McDonald 5 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Pancoe 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Schroeder 39 3-6 1-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 7 2 -
D. Mavraides 30 4-13 3-9 3-4 5 5 1 0 3 14 9 -
I. Hummer 27 2-5 0-0 3-4 6 1 1 2 4 7 8 -
W. Barrett 26 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 2 3 0 2 0 2 -
N. Lake 25 3-10 2-8 2-2 7 0 1 0 1 10 7 -
P. Buczak 19 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 5 -1 -
Dalen Davis 17 3-6 1-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 5 9 2 -
Z. Finley 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 0 -4 -
P. Saunders 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Comfort 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Maddox 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter