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2009-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Buffalo Bulls Towson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 23.3% 76.7% -
Bradley-Terry 64.4% 35.6% -
Margin 64.3% 35.7% -3.2 (5.8 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Towson Tigers -9 (69-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Buffalo Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Pierce 40 7-18 2-5 2-3 4 2 2 0 1 18 7 -
C. Betts 38 5-12 2-7 2-2 10 0 1 0 1 14 12 -
J. Boyer 36 2-5 0-2 2-2 8 12 3 0 3 6 21 -
T. Robinson 28 3-6 0-0 3-4 5 1 1 0 2 9 8 -
M. Watt 19 6-10 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 12 3 -
J. Alston 17 4-5 0-0 3-6 4 1 1 0 2 11 10 -
M. Boudreau 17 3-4 0-0 0-2 1 1 1 0 2 6 3 -
S. Smiley 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
A. Laleye 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
D. Barnett 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Z. Filzen 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -

Towson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Smith 37 6-11 0-3 4-6 7 1 1 0 3 16 11 -
C. Lee 35 5-9 0-1 5-6 9 0 0 2 2 15 15 -
J. Thornton 29 4-13 4-10 1-2 2 1 1 0 3 13 1 -
D. Brewster 29 0-2 0-2 0-0 8 1 1 1 2 0 7 -
T. Franklin 27 7-14 3-7 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 17 3 -
I. Philmore 26 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Morris 18 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 0 1 2 4 -
J. Brown 17 2-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 4 0 -
E. Gumbs 7 0-2 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter