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2009-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Florida Atlantic Owls American University Eagles Spread Result
Elo 45.4% 54.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 56.2% 43.8% - โœ“
Margin 65.6% 34.4% -3.5 โœ“ (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 78.3% 21.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 78.6% 21.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 57.0% 43.0% - โœ“

Actual: American University Eagles -12 (69-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Atlantic Owls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Taylor 33 3-10 1-2 7-12 2 7 1 0 3 14 11 -
S. Richardson 32 4-9 2-3 2-2 5 4 2 0 1 12 13 -
S. Hughley 25 6-10 2-3 1-4 10 0 2 0 1 15 16 -
D. Simpson 24 3-7 0-0 4-6 6 1 0 2 1 10 11 -
J. McCoy 23 2-5 0-0 2-4 7 0 0 1 2 6 7 -
G. Gantt 20 4-8 3-7 3-4 2 1 0 0 1 14 8 -
B. Royster 19 3-7 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 3 7 3 -
A. Tucker 12 1-3 0-1 1-2 2 1 1 1 1 3 4 -
A. Mattison 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Davis 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Lumpkins 36 9-14 0-0 5-14 9 1 0 0 1 23 18 -
S. McCormack 26 1-2 0-0 5-6 7 5 0 0 0 7 17 -
B. Jolivette 24 4-11 1-3 4-7 4 4 1 0 3 13 8 -
N. Hendra 23 3-8 0-2 0-2 4 3 1 0 5 6 1 -
D. Munoz 21 1-3 0-0 2-2 0 1 3 1 3 4 3 -
M. Wilson 21 2-6 0-0 2-2 6 4 1 0 0 6 11 -
M. Bersch 21 3-10 2-8 2-2 1 0 0 1 0 10 2 -
R. Grafft 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
S. Luptak 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter